BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, November 17, 2024
App State 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.67 |
26.67 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
377.37 |
377.37 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.72 |
5.72 (+0.00) |
App State 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
33.92 |
33.92 (+0.00) |
22.33 |
20.49 (-1.84) |
20.49 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
0.00 |
0.00 (+0.00) |
333.67 |
304.35 (-29.32) |
304.35 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
0.00 |
0.00 (+0.00) |
5.59 |
5.34 (-0.25) |
5.34 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
28.75 |
28.75 (+0.00) |
33.67 |
32.67 (-1.00) |
32.67 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
0.00 |
0.00 (+0.00) |
307.78 |
292.82 (-14.96) |
292.82 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
0.00 |
0.00 (+0.00) |
5.59 |
5.30 (-0.29) |
5.30 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +0.0 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-08-31 |
East Tennessee State |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 38-10 |
1-0 |
| 2024-09-08 |
@Clemson |
17.52 |
47.01 |
+29.49 |
64.52 |
2.70% |
L 20-66 |
1-1 |
| 2024-09-14 |
@East Carolina |
25.89 |
38.70 |
+12.80 |
64.59 |
29.47% |
W 21-19 |
2-1 |
| 2024-09-19 |
South Alabama |
19.35 |
33.90 |
+14.55 |
53.25 |
26.67% |
L 14-48 |
2-2 |
| 2024-09-28 |
Liberty |
19.40 |
24.29 |
+4.90 |
43.69 |
42.15% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-10-05 |
@Marshall |
20.25 |
33.93 |
+13.69 |
54.18 |
28.05% |
L 37-52 |
2-3 |
| 2024-10-12 |
@Louisiana |
17.80 |
40.38 |
+22.57 |
58.18 |
13.80% |
L 24-34 |
2-4 |
| 2024-10-26 |
Georgia State |
25.99 |
25.86 |
-0.12 |
51.85 |
50.20% |
W 33-26 |
3-4 |
| 2024-11-02 |
Old Dominion |
17.65 |
32.28 |
+14.63 |
49.92 |
26.53% |
W 28-20 |
4-4 |
| 2024-11-08 |
@Coastal Carolina |
25.33 |
36.60 |
+11.28 |
61.93 |
31.92% |
L 24-38 |
4-5 |
| 2024-11-23 |
James Madison |
16.11 |
38.56 |
+22.45 |
54.68 |
13.99% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-30 |
@Georgia Southern |
22.84 |
36.40 |
+13.57 |
59.24 |
28.24% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 4-8 |
35.95% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 5-7 |
45.67% |
35.95% |
64.05% |
| 6-6 |
16.66% |
81.62% |
18.38% |
| 7-5 |
1.72% |
98.28% |
1.72% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 0-12 |
0.01% |
| 1-11 |
2.77% |
| 2-10 |
12.54% |
| 3-9 |
24.29% |
| 4-8 |
27.44% |
| 5-7 |
19.60% |
| 6-6 |
9.46% |
| 7-5 |
3.11% |
| 8-4 |
0.68% |
| 9-3 |
0.09% |
| 10-2 |
0.01% |