BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, October 13, 2024
App State 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.64 |
26.66 (+0.02) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
374.92 |
376.36 (+1.44) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.77 |
5.75 (-0.02) |
App State 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
33.92 |
33.92 (+0.00) |
19.33 |
12.59 (-6.74) |
12.59 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
0.00 |
0.00 (+0.00) |
291.00 |
221.93 (-69.07) |
221.93 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
0.00 |
0.00 (+0.00) |
5.10 |
4.13 (-0.97) |
4.13 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
28.75 |
28.75 (+0.00) |
36.50 |
38.70 (+2.20) |
38.70 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
0.00 |
0.00 (+0.00) |
255.50 |
245.98 (-9.52) |
245.98 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
0.00 |
0.00 (+0.00) |
5.12 |
5.08 (-0.03) |
5.08 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +0.0 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-08-31 |
East Tennessee State |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 38-10 |
1-0 |
| 2024-09-08 |
@Clemson |
9.73 |
55.83 |
+46.09 |
65.56 |
0.10% |
L 20-66 |
1-1 |
| 2024-09-14 |
@East Carolina |
17.33 |
31.91 |
+14.58 |
49.24 |
26.62% |
W 21-19 |
2-1 |
| 2024-09-19 |
South Alabama |
12.46 |
40.83 |
+28.37 |
53.29 |
4.50% |
L 14-48 |
2-2 |
| 2024-09-28 |
Liberty |
11.52 |
37.31 |
+25.79 |
48.84 |
8.63% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-10-05 |
@Marshall |
13.80 |
37.04 |
+23.24 |
50.84 |
12.72% |
L 37-52 |
2-3 |
| 2024-10-12 |
@Louisiana |
14.95 |
44.99 |
+30.04 |
59.95 |
1.82% |
L 24-34 |
2-4 |
| 2024-10-26 |
Georgia State |
15.34 |
34.05 |
+18.71 |
49.39 |
20.00% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-02 |
Old Dominion |
13.69 |
32.82 |
+19.13 |
46.51 |
19.31% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-08 |
@Coastal Carolina |
13.28 |
44.52 |
+31.24 |
57.81 |
0.10% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-23 |
James Madison |
6.63 |
54.66 |
+48.03 |
61.29 |
0.10% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-30 |
@Georgia Southern |
16.80 |
44.50 |
+27.70 |
61.30 |
5.58% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 2-10 |
55.63% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 3-9 |
35.88% |
55.63% |
44.37% |
| 4-8 |
7.80% |
91.51% |
8.49% |
| 5-7 |
0.67% |
99.31% |
0.69% |
| 6-6 |
0.01% |
99.99% |
0.01% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 0-12 |
0.03% |
| 1-11 |
33.52% |
| 2-10 |
40.68% |
| 3-9 |
20.07% |
| 4-8 |
4.93% |
| 5-7 |
0.72% |
| 6-6 |
0.04% |
| 7-5 |
0.00% |